Poll: Kelly Armstrong Leads Mac Schneider 53 – 32 in North Dakota House Race

In this photo combination, Democrat Mac Schneider, left, and Republican Kelly Armstrong met in their second debate of North Dakota's 2018 U.S. House race on Thursday night in Bismarck, hosted by the Greater North Dakota Chamber and moderated by KFYR. Tom Stromme / Bismarck Tribune

Back in June U.S. House candidate Kelly Armstrong’s campaign released polling they commissioned showing their candidate leading Democrat Mac Schneider 48 percent to 26 percent.

Today the campaign has released another round of polling, from the same pollster, showing both candidates having come up in the polls, though Armstrong maintains a strong lead.

Armstrong came up five points, Schneider came up 6 points, and the net result is a 21 point lead for the Republican:

You can see the full pulling memo the campaign provided me with below. The polling was conducted August 26 – 28 and included 506 likely voters, 73 percent of whom were contacted via cell phone, with a margin of error of 4.47 percent.

The poll also asked about approval of President Donald Trump, and shows him sitting at 59 percent, which is down marginally from the previous Axis Research poll from the Armstrong campaign which showed him at 60 percent. For a point of reference, Trump got nearly 63 percent of the vote in North Dakota in 2016.

There have now been three polls conducted in the House race, and while two of them were commissioned by the Armstrong campaign, they aren’t exactly outliers from the independent polling commissioned by Valley News Live and conducted by Mason-Dixon.

Here are the results:

Here’s the full polling memo from Axis Research:

Rob Port is the editor of SayAnythingBlog.com, a columnist for the Forum News Service, and the host of the Rob (Re)Port on Fargo-based WDAY AM970 from noon-2pm weekdays.

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